Top 2 — qualify 3rd — may qualify (8 best of 12)
Simulates remaining games 5,000× (Elo-weighted Poisson model). Entered results are locked in.
Green = chance of finishing top 2 · Gold = chance of advancing as one of the 8 best third-placed teams.
Round of 32: top 2 of each group + 8 best thirds (32 of 48 teams advance).
Round of 32: top 2 of each group + 8 best thirds (32 of 48 teams advance).